São José vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
AUD
49%
23%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
RBB
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |