Paulista A3 Fase Final Final
Global 1-3
São José vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAP
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |