São José vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRÊ
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAP
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |