São José vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GRÊ
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
0 - 0
CAT
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
5 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
ATI
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
3 - 0
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ATI
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |