São José vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
CAP
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 2
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |