CA Joseense vs Sao Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
SJS
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
3 - 0
RIO
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 0
BAT
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
SJS
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 1
VOT
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
FLA
7%
15%
79%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
SVA
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VOT
4 - 2
SVA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
NOV
21%
23%
57%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |