CA Joseense vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
SJS
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
SJS
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 3
RIO
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
SJS
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 3
SAO
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
TUP
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
VOT
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |