CA Joseense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SJS
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 3
SJS
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 0
CAT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 3
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
SJS
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 3
TAU
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |