CA Joseense vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 0
AMP
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AMP
1 - 0
SJS
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
SJS
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 1
FRA
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 1
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
SJS
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 2
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PEN
5 - 1
TAN
67%
18%
14%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |