CA Joseense vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 3
SJS
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 4
ATI
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
SJS
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
SJS
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAT
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |