CA Joseense vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
3 - 1
SJS
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SJS
1 - 0
CAT
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SJS
1 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
SJS
46%
26%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
SJS
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
GDS
23%
21%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
7 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |