CA Joseense vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
SJS
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
SJS
1 - 2
SER
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
1 - 1
TUP
63%
20%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
SJS
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 3
MIR
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 0
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |