CA Joseense vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
SJS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 1
SJS
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAR
35%
24%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 0
SJS
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
SJS
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
IND
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |