CA Joseense vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
SJS
12%
19%
68%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
SJS
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 2
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
SJS
34%
24%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SJS
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
8%
16%
76%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SJS
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |