CA Joseense vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
SJS
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
SJS
37%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAT
41%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VOT
1 - 1
SJS
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SJS
0 - 2
TAU
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
OLI
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATI
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |