CA Joseense vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
SJS
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
4 - 0
AME
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
SJS
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
SJS
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 3
AGU
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 0
AGU
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
MAT
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |