São João Ver vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 5
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAM
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 1
ACV
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 2
COI
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 0
TOU
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |