São João Ver vs Tocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COI
1 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
CIN
37%
25%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 1
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
BUS
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
ACV
17%
24%
59%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COI
3 - 2
TOC
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
CIN
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
TOC
69%
18%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |