São João Ver vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 2
SAO
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
ADN
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
OPE
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CES
0 - 2
SAO
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACV
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
BEN
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 3
COI
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
BEN
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |