São João Ver vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
SAO
67%
18%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 3
AMA
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
ALE
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PMI
0 - 5
SER
15%
17%
69%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 1
SER
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MOU
1 - 4
SER
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SER
2 - 4
AMO
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |