São João Ver vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 2
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
ANA
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 2
SAO
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
CIN
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 4
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
4 - 1
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
OPE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANA
3 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |