São João Ver vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
AMA
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 1
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAD
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 1
ANG
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
3 - 4
PAD
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |