São João Ver vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
SAO
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
COI
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GON
0 - 1
SAO
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
ALI
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
SAO
78%
16%
7%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ANG
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ANA
3 - 1
OPE
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
AMA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |