São João Ver vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 0
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
ANA
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ACV
0 - 2
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 0
MOR
72%
19%
9%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |