São João Ver vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEV
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 2
SAO
14%
19%
68%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
PEV
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEV
3 - 1
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |