São João Ver vs Marítimo III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GOU
3 - 2
SAO
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
20%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
GAF
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
21%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 2
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |