São João Ver vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 1
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
ANA
34%
26%
39%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 0
GAF
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 3
GAF
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
GAF
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |