São João Ver vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
7 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 0
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
ANA
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
EDL
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 1
ORI
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 0
CIN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
LOU
5 - 1
EDL
59%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 1
IMO
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |