São João Ver vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 2
SAO
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
LUS
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AMO
2 - 1
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
VCO
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
5 - 0
VCO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 4
VCO
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VCO
2 - 1
RDA
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VCO
0 - 3
GIN
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |