São João Ver vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
ANA
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
LUS
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUS
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
5 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +4 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 1
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 0
BUS
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 0
CIN
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |