São João Ver vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
OPE
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CES
0 - 2
SAO
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
ANA
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 3
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 0
ACV
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
ADN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADN
2 - 3
COI
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
ADN
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 1
ADN
62%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |