São Gonçalo RJ vs Rio Sao Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 1
SAO
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
OLA
2 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
AUD
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
NCI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Sao Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
CEC
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
GOY
19%
21%
59%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
RIO
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 0
CAA
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BON
0 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |