São Francisco PA vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 0
FRA
71%
15%
14%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
FRA
52%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
RIO
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
FRA
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
RDA
0 - 0
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 2
RDA
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 1
GEN
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 2
BRO
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |