Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 3-6
São Francisco PA vs Atlético Acreano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
GEN
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 0
FRA
71%
15%
14%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
FRA
52%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
RIO
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Acreano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 0
TDC
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PRI
1 - 0
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
RDA
2 - 2
ATL
20%
20%
61%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
5 - 0
RDA
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
PRI
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |