São Francisco PA vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAM
27%
24%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BPA
2 - 1
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SRE
0 - 1
FRA
15%
17%
69%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 1
SEC
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
5 - 2
FRA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SRE
1 - 1
AGU
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 3
PAY
10%
18%
73%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
TAP
1 - 1
AGU
18%
22%
61%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 0
TUN
33%
24%
44%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
AGU
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |