São Francisco AC vs Humaitá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
7 - 0
SFC
87%
9%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 3
PRI
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TUN
2 - 0
SFC
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 1
AGU
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
SFC
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
SAM
7%
18%
75%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
TDC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 2
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
0 - 1
SCH
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 0
AGU
18%
25%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |