Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 0-2
Sao Domingos FC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Domingos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OSE
1 - 5
SDF
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SDF
0 - 3
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
0 - 1
SDF
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SDF
2 - 1
RIP
34%
26%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 1
SDF
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
89%
9%
3%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 0
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
CFC
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |