Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
Sao Domingos FC vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Domingos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OSE
2 - 0
SDF
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
RFC
0 - 2
SDF
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SDF
0 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
3 - 3
SDF
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 2
RIO
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LUV
0 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |