São Carlos vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
COM
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
XVD
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
XVD
0 - 1
IND
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FER
0 - 3
XVD
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 2
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |