São Carlos vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
74%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
GDS
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
ECN
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
16%
20%
65%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |