São Carlos vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAO
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
8%
17%
75%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |