Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
São Carlos vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
XVD
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
MIR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 3
RIO
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |