São Carlos vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COM
4 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 4
RIO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAT
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |