São Carlos vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COM
4 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 0
VOT
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 1
PEN
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |