São Carlos vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SEP
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 1
GRÊ
30%
23%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
SEP
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |