São Carlos vs Palmeiras II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 1
SAO
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
SEP
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
6 - 3
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SEP
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SEP
4 - 2
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |