São Carlos vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
LEM
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
3 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
BEB
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 2
ECN
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
OSV
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
1 - 2
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
OSV
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 0
CAT
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |