São Carlos vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
FRA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
IND
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
3 - 5
NOV
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
VOT
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |