São Carlos vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 3
ATI
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITA
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SJS
0 - 4
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |