São Carlos vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ATI
0 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |